Friday, July 3, 2020 / by Sergey Korostensky
The World Health Organization declared COVID-19 a pandemic in March. Subsequently, the number of home sales in Canada as social distancing measures were put in place, open houses got cancelled and became available.
Three months on, the Canadian real estate market is no longer in free fall — (though both are down significantly compared to last year), and prices have remained fairly steady — but there continues to be a lot of uncertainty for both buyers and sellers. While are still taking place in many markets, the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC) that prices will fall this year, and sales and prices might not be back to pre-pandemic levels even by the end of 2022.
If you're looking to buy or sell residential property this year, you may already know that it's a quickly moving market with many regional differences — and the process looks quite different now than it did at the start of the year or even a month ago. With that in mind, we reached out to real estate experts in four different provinces* for their market insights and best advice on everything from staging a virtual showing to getting a mortgage approval.
*Note: In Canada, real estate is largely regulated based on provincial or territorial legislation. Some information included in this article may not apply in your province or territory.
It's (still, kind of) a seller's market
"There was, right at the beginning, a dramatic drop in properties listed for sale because many sellers were concerned enough to not want to have people in their house," says Anthony Bastiaanssen, a Realtor in Kelowna, B.C., and chair of the British Columbia Real Estate Association. "People actually took their properties off the market for a period of time or delayed the process of listing it for sale." But so far this spring, prices have remained relatively steady, despite . "Prices have not, in any reports that I've seen, shown any significant adjustment," says Bastiaanssen. "Most of the economic forecasts do call for a slight adjustment in pricing down in the short term, but honestly, we still haven't really seen that."
According to , attractive properties in in-demand areas are still selling quickly, and, in some cases, attracting multiple offers. "[In Quebec], it's a very strong real estate market for the seller," says Anouk Vidal, a real estate broker in Saint-Jérôme, Que., and spokesperson for the Quebec Professional Association of Real Estate Brokers. "We have very low inventory … [and] when a property comes on the market, there's a lot of demand for it."
With many regions starting to reopen their economies and loosen restrictions, there's been an increase in real estate activity over the last few weeks. "The market is actually extremely active right now," says Vidal. "We were on pause and couldn't do anything for a couple of months, [so] all the people that need to buy or sell are doing it at this point." Notably, both Vidal and Bastiaanssen have either observed or heard of an uptick of interest in their provinces for rural and countryside listings, particularly from city-dwellers looking for more space or a recreational property.
Expect virtual showings and tours, and new protocols
Because real estate is largely provincially or territorially regulated, the industry rules and guidelines pertaining to COVID-19 — which are constantly shifting as local regulations change — are slightly different in each region. For example, open houses are currently prohibited in Quebec, says Vidal, as they are in Ontario. But in Alberta, real estate professionals are starting to offer them again for vacant properties.
Still, no matter where you are in Canada, expect to see an increased reliance on technology as videos, 3D renderings and other virtual tours become increasingly important sales and marketing tools. With sellers (and many tenants) hesitant to have people going through their home right now, open houses have gone online, with some real estate professionals doing video walk-throughs with their clients. "There's been a pretty significant uptick [in] virtual tour-type photography," says Bastiaanssen, who notes that more serious potential buyers will follow with a visit to the property in person.
When it comes to those fewer, spaced out in-person showings, there are COVID-related guidelines that sellers, buyers and real estate professionals to adhere to. For example, in Quebec, real estate professionals will normally ask buyers (and sellers that are in the properties) to sign a declaration confirming that they're healthy and haven't been in contact with someone with COVID-19 ahead of any in-person visits. "[In British Columbia], very specific protocols and precautions, [created] with guidance from WorkSafeBC and the provincial real estate association and real estate council, are being taken to ensure the health and safety of both clients and Realtors themselves," says Bastiaanssen. That could mean wearing face masks and gloves, using sanitizing wipes and giving buyers directions to avoid handling or touching anything in the home, including light switches and door handles.
With these additional precautions and guidelines in place, both Vidal and Bastiaanssen note that they are seeing mostly "serious" buyers and sellers in the market right now. "It's a lot more complicated with all the processes that we have to go through," says Vidal. "We're working with people that either need [or] really want to move, that are pre-approved at the bank for their mortgage and that, if they find what they want, [are] going to be willing to make an offer."
Purchase agreements may include COVID-19 related clauses
In addition to typical purchase agreement clauses, such as home inspection or property inspection conditions, some individuals who are worried about losing their job or getting sick have been asking for to be worked into contracts. According to Jeffrey Kahane, a real estate lawyer at Kahane Law Office in Calgary, real estate brokerages have differing policies when it comes to these COVID-related clauses,; but ultimately, the contract terms should come down to what's important for you as a buyer or seller. "Sometimes, it has nothing to do with getting out of the deal," says Kahane. It could be about requiring that "the seller hire a reputable company to come in and do a deep clean on the property before possession." For buyers doing virtual tours of properties, Kahane notes that it's important to "put in a condition on the offer that you actually get to go in and view the property" in person.
Additionally, because of COVID-19, some provinces are currently allowing virtual signings of legal documents such as agreements of purchase and sale. "In Alberta, they have allowed virtual signings until August at least, where we can have people swear affidavits and sign declarations by video, and take ID by video," says Kahane. "It works fine, but we're finding that very few of our clients inside of Calgary are opting for that; they'd rather just come into the office."
For buyers, mortgage rates are exceptionally low
One thing going in favour of buyers? Low mortgage rates. "Rates are exceptionally low relative to what we've seen over the past 12 to 24 months," says Paul von Martels, vice president of prime and reverse mortgage credit at Equitable Bank. He notes that the five-year, fixed-rate mortgage remains the most popular product by far, and the mortgage-approval process isn't taking any longer than it did pre-COVID. "We're offering electronic signatures for all of our mortgage documentation, right from start to finish, if a client chooses to take that option," says von Martels. "We've done a lot of things to enable a more remote home buying, selling and refinancing." For example, some of Equitable Bank's home-appraisal partners are doing virtual appraisals, "taking pictures through windows and working with clients to acquire other interior pictures."
One thing that all buyers should keep in mind is that CMHC's will be coming into effect on July 1, requiring buyers who want to access CMHC's mortgage default insurance to have higher credit scores, no borrowed down payments and lower debt ratios. "All else being equal, in many cases, the changes will reduce buying power for borrowers," says von Martels, but adds that the two other companies in Canada that offer mortgage default insurance, Genworth and Canada Guaranty, "have publicly come out and said that they will not be making the same changes that CMHC will be implementing."
For prospective home buyers whose income might have been temporarily impacted by the pandemic, von Martels' advice is to explore options with a mortgage broker who has experience working with a wide range of mortgages, as they might be able to guide you toward alternative products and lenders who offer more flexibility.
It might also make sense to temporarily pause your real estate search if you have a low risk tolerance or are experiencing any economic uncertainty. It's hard even for experts to forecast what the Canadian real estate market will look like in six months, or in 2021 with confidence. "I think that it's important for clients or borrowers to stay honest with themselves and not to rush into things because they see market activity picking up or maybe because they think that they can get a deal on something," says von Martels.
Sellers, presenting well is still key
Homeowners with extra time on their hands should be working on landscaping and improving the outside appearance of their home right now ahead of listing their home for sale, advises Vidal. Aside from the outer areas of a home always drawing buyers' eyes in the summer, Vidal thinks that people will place value on comfortable outdoor spaces especially now, after being stuck inside.